Lady Ridgewood
4yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 75
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap · 1m 3f 24y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Ascot | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-14 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Brighton | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2024 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 06/11/2024 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 11/04/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 29/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |