8
Call Alert
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 50
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Selling Handicap · 1m 3f 24y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Salisbury | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lingfield | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength17%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |