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6

Cosmic Man

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 61

Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Selling Handicap · 1m 3f 24y

#7

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fared better with first-time blinkers when third of 9 in a handicap at Redcar 15 days ago, though took a keen hold. Cheekpieces replace blinkers over this longer trip and likely needs more returned to all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 15/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0843 @ Carlisle 01/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f182y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Ayr 30/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f Sft 13330/0955 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 72 · 7f96y Goo 132 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Southwell 07/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 70 · 7f14y Std 135 · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 70 par7/055OR 705 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 67 · 1m1f Goo 132 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m2f Goo 132 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 63 par10/086OR 635 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 61 · 1m2f1y Goo 127 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 61 par9/095OR 61projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar53rd3rd0
2026-08-10Ayr67th8th−1
2026-06-09Carlisle58th8th0
2026-05-07Southwell510th10th0
2026-04-15Beverley59th9th0
2025-09-30Ayr54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0815/0410/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/202514th16/116%7%-0.09
01/09/20254th25/10%67%+0.67
30/09/20254th11/142%57%+0.15
15/04/20269th9/276%11%-0.65
07/05/202610th13/266%10%-0.56
09/06/20268th18/15%22%+0.17
10/08/20267th66/10%40%+0.40
09/09/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38