3
Meet Me In Meraki
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 64
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Selling Handicap · 1m 3f 24y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Ffos Las | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Ffos Las | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 04/03/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |