1
Bokeh
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 63
Thistledown · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |