3
Dew It With Class
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 57
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 21/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |