6
Hidden Access
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 87
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |