I Wanna Win
10yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88
Thistledown · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 2.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |