3
Olympic Wings
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 64
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |