1

Konteekee

5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 91

Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Oaklawn Park 21/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 92 · 6f 121 · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 92 par21/12C8OR 92C8 @ Oaklawn Park 06/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 15/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 87 · 6f Slo 121 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 87 par15/02C8OR 87C8 @ Oaklawn Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 90 · 6f Slo 118 · beat its mark07/03/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 10/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 84 · 6f 125 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 84 par10/04C8OR 84C6 @ Thistledown 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 92 parC5 @ Thistledown 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 89 par30/06C5OR 89C6 @ Thistledown 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 91 · 6f Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 91 parC6 @ Thistledown 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 91 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 91 par24/08C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Thistledown?2nd0th+2
2026-07-21Thistledown?6th4th+2
2026-06-30Thistledown?4th1st+3
2026-06-11Thistledown?1st-1th+2
2026-04-10Oaklawn Park?9th9th0
2026-03-07Oaklawn Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/127/0330/0624/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength52%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20254th10/147%57%+0.10
06/02/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
15/02/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
07/03/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
10/04/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
11/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
30/06/20264th6/168%0%-0.68
21/07/20266th7/163%38%-0.26
24/08/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12