Lucky Jeremy
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 92
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-07-20 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-09 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 17/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |