Amore Mio
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | BHA69 | 5th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |