4

Teleport

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 97

Woodbine · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 17/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11917/08C6C0 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 76 par3/10C?OR 76C5 @ Gulfstream 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 83 par1/11C5OR 83C6 @ Gulfstream 07/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 84 par7/12C6OR 84C6 @ Woodbine 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 93 · 7f110y Fas 119 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 93 par2/08C6OR 93BHA96 @ Woodbine 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 96 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 96 par29/0896OR 96projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29WoodbineBHA964th9th4
2026-08-02Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2025-12-07Gulfstream?5th5th0
2025-11-01Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2025-10-03Belmont At The Big A?7th1st+5
2025-08-17Saratoga?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/083/101/117/122/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength51%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
03/10/20257th16/116%33%+0.18
01/11/20255th5/493%0%-0.93
07/12/20255th7/282%33%-0.48
02/08/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
29/08/20264th7/163%50%-0.13