8
Dixie Doll
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 70
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -18.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |