Greenwich Pike
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 69
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 25/04/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 28/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |