4
Pipinna
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 66
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |