6

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4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 70

Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 02/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 80 par2/10C7OR 80C8 @ Woodbine 24/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m110y 119 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 72 parC8 @ Woodbine 28/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 71 par28/11C8OR 71C8 @ Woodbine 08/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 62 · 7f 122 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 62 parC8 @ Woodbine 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 59 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 59 par22/05C8OR 59C8 @ Woodbine 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 58 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 58 parC8 @ Woodbine 25/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 60 par25/06C8OR 60C8 @ Woodbine 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 66 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Woodbine 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 1m110y Fas 118 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 68 par7/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-08-08Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-06-25Woodbine?9th9th0
2026-06-11Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-05-22Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-05-08Woodbine?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/108/0525/067/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength80%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20259th33/10%11%+0.11
24/10/20256th14/126%17%-0.10
28/11/20258th20/10%0%0.00
08/05/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
22/05/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
11/06/20266th8/158%0%-0.58
25/06/20269th25/10%0%0.00
08/08/20262nd10/147%80%+0.33
07/09/20262nd13/266%80%+0.14