11
Back Street Driver
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 55
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |