2
Kairos Moment
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 56
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 11/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 25/07/2025 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 22/08/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |