
Metro King
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 59
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |