5

Metro King

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 59

Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 23/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS23/11C6C7 @ Woodbine 03/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS3/05C7C7 @ Woodbine 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 62 · 7f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 62 par23/05C7OR 62C7 @ Woodbine 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 55 · 7f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 55 par6/07C7OR 55C9 @ Woodbine 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 58 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 58 par21/08C9OR 58C9 @ Woodbine 07/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 60 par7/09C9OR 60projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-08-21Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-07-06Woodbine?7th5th+2
2026-05-23Woodbine?8th6th+2
2026-05-03Woodbine?7th5th+2
2025-11-23Woodbine?11th8th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/113/0523/056/0721/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/202511th40/10%0%0.00
03/05/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
23/05/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
06/07/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
21/08/20267th14/126%40%+0.14
07/09/20267th25/10%25%+0.25