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8

Night Striker

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74

Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Woodbine 23/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 74 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 74 par23/08C9OR 74C9 @ Woodbine 18/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m1f 122 · below its mark18/09/2025 · OR 74 parC7 @ Woodbine 11/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 76 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 76 par11/10C7OR 76C9 @ Woodbine 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 80 parC9 @ Woodbine 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 70 par25/04C9OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 67 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 67 parC7 @ Woodbine 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 64 · 7f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 64 par6/07C7OR 64C7 @ Woodbine 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 67 parC7 @ Woodbine 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 71 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 71 par28/08C7OR 71projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Woodbine?3rd1st+2
2026-07-24Woodbine?3rd1st+2
2026-07-06Woodbine?2nd0th+2
2026-06-06Woodbine?3rd1st+2
2026-04-25Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2025-11-08Woodbine?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/088/116/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength83%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20252nd3/184%89%+0.05
18/09/20254th2/189%40%-0.49
11/10/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
08/11/20254th15/261%50%-0.11
25/04/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11
06/06/20263rd5/174%82%+0.08
06/07/20262nd15/890%86%-0.04
24/07/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
28/08/20263rd5/174%80%+0.06