Proudly Canadian
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 67
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +13.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |