7

Wu Tang King

3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 64

Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength70%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C7C7 @ Woodbine 19/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 7f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 70 par19/07C7OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 68 · 5f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 68 par5/09C7OR 68projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Woodbine?6th4th+2
2026-07-19Woodbine?7th5th+2
2026-07-05Woodbine?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0719/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
19/07/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
05/09/20266th20/10%0%0.00