5
Big Imagination
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength43%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |