2

Boss Lady J

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 68

Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 06/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS6/09C6C6 @ Woodbine 10/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 68 parC6 @ Woodbine 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 70 · 5f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 70 par1/11C6OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 16/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 71 · 6f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Woodbine 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 68 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 68 par5/06C7OR 68C7 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 60 · 7f110y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 60 parC7 @ Woodbine 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 58 · 7f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 58 par6/08C7OR 58C8 @ Woodbine 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 63 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 63 par11/09C8OR 63projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-08-06Woodbine?1st0th+1
2026-07-05Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2026-06-05Woodbine?8th7th+1
2026-05-16Woodbine?11th10th+1
2025-11-01Woodbine?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0916/056/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20255th25/10%33%+0.33
10/10/20256th33/10%17%+0.17
01/11/20255th33/10%20%+0.20
16/05/202611th40/10%0%0.00
05/06/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
05/07/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
06/08/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
11/09/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19