
Boss Lady J
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 68
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |