8
Design Diva
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |