Lady Izzy
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 05/12/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |