Stratospheric
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-01-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 16/11/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 08/12/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 26/01/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 28/02/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |