6
Totally In Charge
7yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |