Mrs. C
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2024-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/09/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 12/10/2024 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 15/11/2024 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 29/11/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 14/12/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |