6
Shining Silver
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -13.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/05/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |