1

Starship Paradise

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 66

Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 22/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 45 · 5f110y Fas 121 · beat its mark22/11/2025 · OR 45 par22/11C9OR 45C9 @ Gulfstream 04/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 51 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark04/01/2026 · OR 51 parC9 @ Gulfstream 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 60 par11/01C9OR 60C9 @ Gulfstream 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 57 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Assiniboia Downs 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 52 · 5f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 52 par3/06C9OR 52C5 @ Assiniboia Downs 23/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 51 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 51 parC6 @ Assiniboia Downs 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 63 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 63 par2/07C6OR 63C8 @ Assiniboia Downs 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Woodbine 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 71 · 5f Fm 121 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 71 par10/09C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-07-29Assiniboia Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-07-02Assiniboia Downs?4th2nd+2
2026-06-23Assiniboia Downs?1st-2th+3
2026-06-03Assiniboia Downs?1st2nd1
2026-02-06Gulfstream?4th5th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/116/022/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength2%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/11/20254th33/10%63%+0.63
04/01/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
11/01/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
06/02/20264th11/486%25%-0.61
03/06/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
23/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
02/07/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
29/07/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
10/09/20266th10/147%29%-0.19