5
Flightmare
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 51
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 27/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |