1
Malibu Betty
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 65
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength96%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |