4
Monsoon Dancer
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 63
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2024 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 26/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |