6
Danish Cookie
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 63
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |