Strawberry World
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 61
Woodbine · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |