13:25 · Newmarket

Betway Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)

7fGoing TBCClass 12YO onlyTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Top Pick1
OR 102
9/2
Sugar Yes Please silks

Mr Marc Middleton-heath

2yo Filly · 9-2

Mohaather - Alezan (Dawn Approach)

Charles Bishop2/3Eve Johnson Houghton60%
411
9.0

Confirmed debut promise with a smooth success at Newbury (6f) in July and improved another chunk when following up in the Sweet Solera Stakes in the July Course last month. Arguably value for extra too so she demands respect.

Class Advantage

23/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/069/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/078/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%23/06Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%9/07Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%8/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.4%Ahead 3/3
1
2
OR 101
7/2
Light Of Dawn silks

Wathnan Racing

2yo Filly · 9-2

Showcasing - An Ghalanta (Holy Roman Emperor)

James Doyle80%2/4K R Burke60%
1331
8.0Going 8.0

Accounted for 3 rivals over 6f at Carlisle on debut and much improved when 2 lengths third to Libertango in Albany at Royal Ascot in June. Filled same position in the Prix de Cabourg at Deauville before regaining winning thread in a Group 3 at Goodwood on first crack at 7f a month ago.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a8/0619/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a19/062/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/0830/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 92%19/06Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 71%2/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 3/4
9
Market Fav3
OR 88
13/8
Spirited Gesture silks

Juddmonte

2yo Filly · 9-2

Kingman - Helleborine (Observatory)

Colin Keane60%J & T Gosden60%
11
9.0Going 8.0

Bred to be smart and looked just that when making an impressive winning start to her career on the July Course last month. Quickened clear when long odds-on at Newcastle since and with the second improving next time, there's substance to that. Very exciting prospect.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a1/0820/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a20/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 1 · SP 1/6 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/6 | Actual: 100%20/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.4%Ahead 1/2
8
4
OR 94
14/1
Speed of Sound silks

Phil Cunningham

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sioux Nation - All Speed (Camacho)

Saffie Osborne70%2/5R Spencer
32131
8.0Going 10.0

Shaped well when placed in a York sales race after shedding her maiden status at Yarmouth and showed her opening mark to be all wrong when a dominant winner Doncaster (6.5f) 2 weeks ago. Looks worth a shot at this level on first crack at 7f.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a10/0724/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par10/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%10/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%24/07Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%5/08Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 89%20/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.6%Ahead 4/4
2
5
OR 85
7/1
Miss Miniver silks

Godolphin

2yo Filly · 9-2

Wootton Bassett - Jawlaat (Shamardal)

W Buick70%R Varian60%
21
8.0Going 8.0

800,000 gns Wootton Bassett filly who produced an encouraging first effort (race that worked out well) when second at Kempton and showed a willing attitude to edge out some other promising fillies in 7f maiden at Salisbury (good to soft) since. Upped in class but can leave bare form behind.

Class Advantage

12/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a12/083/09 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength14%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 91%12/08Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 2/2
5
6
OR 94
20/1
Ruby Moon silks

Mrs Richard Henry

2yo Filly · 9-2

No Nay Never - Ruby Shield (War Front)

O J Orr60%1/3R A Fahey60%
1492
5.0

Winning debut and improved to finish fourth behind 3 subsequent winners in a Group 2 on the July Course. Underperformed in the Lowther but right back on her game in the mud when 1¾ lengths second of 5 to Silent Beauty in Firth of Clyde Stakes at Ayr a week ago. Looks ready for 7f.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/0610/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/0720/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/0819/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%10/07Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%20/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%19/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.2%Ahead 4/4
3
8
OR 86
11/1
Pensando A Te silks

Elsa Stable

2yo Filly · 9-2

Blackbeard - The Gold Cheongsam (Red Clubs)

S De Sousa60%1/1M Botti
21
8.0

Bred to be useful (held Group 1 and 2 entries) and finished with a rattle when head second of 10 in maiden at Yarmouth (6f, firm) on debut last month. Confirmed that promise when going one place better at Ascot 3 weeks ago and there should be lots more to come over 7f. Yard won this back in 2013.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/085/09 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength8%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 89%5/08Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.7%Ahead 2/2
4
7
OR 79
33/1
Redline silks

Mr Shaun Henley

2yo Filly · 9-2

Bayside Boy - Elas Ruby (Raven's Pass)

Oisin Murphy80%J Candlish
118
5.0

Form of maiden/novice wins this summer is ordinary in the context of this and she found Group 3 Prestige too much on soft ground 4 weeks ago. Since left Charlie Johnston.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/066/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0730/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%15/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.9%Ahead 2/3
6
9
OR 87
20/1
Sea Venture silks

Bermuda Racing Ltd

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sea The Stars - Nectar De Rose (Shamardal)

Billy Loughnane80%George Scott60%
16
5.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Sea The Stars filly who looked good prospect in overcoming both inexperience and a troubled passage when taking 9-runner maiden at Haydock (6f, good to soft) in May. Didn't see out 7f as well as might have been expected in the Chesham soon after but she's been given a break and a tongue tie is on.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a22/0518/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a18/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength13%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%22/05Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 62%18/06
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.6%Ahead 1/2