14:00 · Newmarket

Betway Joel Stakes (Group 2)

1mGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Value2
OR 114
6/1
Persica silks

Martin Hughes & Michael Kerr-Dineen

5yo Gelding · 9-6

New Bay - Rubira (Lope De Vega)

James Doyle80%1/1R Hannon60%
252131
9.0

Dual Group 3 winner in 2025 and has held his form well this season, getting back to winning ways in listed race at Newbury in July. Showed a good attitude when also landing the Superior Mile at Haydock 20 days ago by nose from The Lost King. Can make his presence felt.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0616/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par3/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par18/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%5/06Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%3/07Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%22/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 3/4
6
Market Fav3
OR 116
4/6
Talk Of New York silks

Godolphin

3yo Colt · 9-2

Wootton Bassett - Usherette (Shamardal)

W Buick70%3/6C Appleby70%
131132
8.0Going 10.0
Hood

Fitted with a hood, progressed again when winning conditions race here (7f) in April and followed up in listed race at Sandown (1m). Fine third behind Bow Echo in St James's Palace at Royal Ascot, before unsuited by the track in Group 3 at Glorious Goodwood. Leading claims.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/1028/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par14/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par28/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par31/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%15/10Pos 3 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%14/04Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%16/06Pos 2 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 83%31/07
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.1%Ahead 2/4
5
Top Pick1
OR 112
10/1
Hankelow silks

Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obai

3yo Colt · 9-2

Night Of Thunder - Sagaciously (Lawman)

C Lee70%2/7K R Burke80%
213094
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Winner of Autumn Stakes over C&D last year and encouraging third in French 2000 Guineas on return. Having had excuses next 2 outings, ran well when 1¼ lengths fourth of 9 to Persica in Superior Mile at Haydock and he represents last year's winning connections of this race. Cheekpieces on.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a12/0911/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par10/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par31/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par5/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 86%12/09Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%10/05Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%22/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 106
12/1
Audience silks

Mr Hamad Rashed Bin Ghedayer

7yo Gelding · 9-6

Iffraaj - Ladyship (Oasis Dream)

R Havlin60%5/21D O'Meara80%
092332
7.0
Cheek piecesHood

Group 1 winner for the Gosdens despite not being straightforward. Form went the wrong way in Dubai for this yard earlier in the year but has found some consistency of late, placed for the fourth start in a row (all in Ireland) when runner-up in Group 2 at Leopardstown 13 days ago.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par6/039/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par11/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par19/07 · C0 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par6/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par12/09 · C0 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%6/03Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 83%11/06Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%6/08Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%12/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.1%Ahead 4/4
3
5
OR 110
8/1
The Lost King silks

King Power Racing Co Ltd

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Kingman - King Power (Frankel)

Oisin Murphy80%2/6A M Balding60%
340112
8.0

Much improved with 4 handicap victories this year, the only blip when caught on the wrong side at Royal Ascot. Resumed his progress with back-to-back wins at York and took the step up to Group 3 level in his stride when beaten only a nose by Persica in Superior Mile at Haydock.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/042/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par5/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 85%3/04Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 27 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 27 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 4%18/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%5/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 4/4
4
7
OR 103
10/1
Colori Forever silks

Scuderia Archi Romani

3yo Colt · 9-2

Bated Breath - Colorando (Territories)

Marco Ghiani60%2/6M Botti
121025
5.0

Successful in handicaps 2 of first 3 starts this season, before excuses in the Jersey at Royal Ascot. Has got back on track the last twice, shaping well (suffered early interference) when 1¼ lengths fifth of 9 to Persica in Superior Mile at Haydock 20 days ago. Could go well.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/0417/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par8/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par20/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par9/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par5/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%5/04Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%9/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 102
25/1
Wild Desert silks

Godolphin

3yo Colt · 9-2

Too Darn Hot - Winters Moon (New Approach)

Billy Loughnane80%1/1C Appleby90%
232606
4.0

Useful juvenile who made a winning debut at Haydock and placed next 3 starts, including runner-up in a Woodbine Grade 1. However, well beaten in listed race/handicap on first 2 outings this season, before acting as pacemaker when mid-field in a Deauville Group 3 last time.

Class Advantage

21/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/0612/07 · C0 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par9/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par9/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 75%21/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 89%13/09Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%1/08Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 55%9/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.4%Ahead 1/4