16:45 · Newcastle

Aalberts Integrated Piping Systems Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m 5yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusALLWEATHER6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
11/4
Noozhaa silks

ARM Racing

3yo Filly · 9-2

Pinatubo - Nezwaah (Dubawi)

J Mitchell60%0/1R Varian60%
2
6.0Going 8.0

Pinatubo filly out of a Group 1 winner who posted a promising second of 7 in a Kempton novice (7f) on debut 23 days ago, noted making late headway without being knocked about. Appeals as the type to take a significant step forward from that and she's shortlisted.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%9/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.4%Ahead 1/1
6
3
7/1
Walk In Provence silks

Merriebelle Irish Farm Limited

3yo Filly · 9-2

Frankel - Walk In Marrakesh (Siyouni)

Connor Beasley60%C Johnston
2
7.0

Frankel half-sister to 5f winner Correspondence who made a promising start when finding only one with prior experience too good in a Redcar maiden (1m) 23 days ago. Rates a likely improver with that under her belt.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.2%Ahead 1/1
3
Market Fav2
9/4
Maneuver silks

The Thoroughbred Racing Corporation Lt

3yo Filly · 9-2

Sea The Stars - Monaawara (Siyouni)

R Havlin60%J & T Gosden60%
23
6.0

Sea The Stars filly who proved more clued up than on debut and briefly looked in control before fading into third in an Ascot maiden (1m) when last seen 12 months ago. Appeals as the type to do better as a 3-y-o and of interest on return for her top stable.

Class Advantage

13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/085/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 88%13/08Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.2%Ahead 0/2
5
4
OR 79
3/1
Star Mirage silks

Wathnan Racing

3yo Filly · 9-2

Street Sense - Conquest Sweetride (Candy Ride)

D Tudhope60%H Al Jehani60%
232072
4.0Class ↓1
1st Cheekpieces +2

Fairly useful filly who wasn't far off the pick of her 2-y-o form and fared best of the rest behind a promising sort in 4-runner Kempton novice (1m) 4 weeks ago. Can go well again with cheekpieces reached for but she looks to lack the potential of a couple here.

Class Advantage

15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/0921/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par4/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 90%15/09Pos 3 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 93%19/12Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%26/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%4/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.2%Ahead 1/4
1
6
5/1
Always Sunny silks

Mr M Tabor

3yo Filly · 9-2

St Mark's Basilica - Opera Society (Declaration Of War)

Jason Hart60%S & E Crisford
No form3.0

St Mark's Basilica filly. Half-sister to 7f/1m winner Vibrato and 8.6f winner Opera Score. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart 1¼m-12.5f winner Shareta (won Yorkshire Oaks/Prix Vermeille). Very much one to note on debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish5th of 620% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength74%
2
5
50/1
Lazy In Red silks

Mr D W Whillans

3yo Filly · 9-2

Advertise - Red Fantasy (High Chaparral)

Greg Fairley70%0/1D W Whillans60%
30
3.0Class ↓1

Well held in pair of 11f Carlisle novice/maiden contests in recent months and she looks one for low-grade handicaps further down the line.

Class Advantage

19/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/089/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%19/08Pos 10 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 18%9/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 1/2