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18:50 · Thistledown

Race 6 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 65
2/1
Her Own Shadow silks

Donnybrook Stables, Kuntz, Mark D And Wirthwine, Gerald

Her Own Shadow

3yo Filly · 8-5

Twinspired - Sunny Empire (Empire Maker)

Luis Rivera60%1/4Jeffrey Radosevich60%
841221
9.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/1028/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par15/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%9/10Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%15/06Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%5/08Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%26/08
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.2%Ahead 2/4
3
2
OR 66
5/2
Queen Kitty silks

Craig Bargowski

Queen Kitty

4yo Filly · 8-7

Sky Kingdom - Show Cat (Oxbow)

Brandon Tapara60%0/3Loren Huepenbecker60%
221332
8.0

Class Advantage

23/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par23/061/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par26/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%23/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%26/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.0%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 71
3/1
Dunn's River silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

Dunn's River

3yo Filly · 8-3

Rivers Run Deep - I'm Ready (More Than Ready)

Jason Simpson60%0/1Ricardo Bailey60%
447423
7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par20/0510/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par8/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%20/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%8/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%17/08Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.9%Ahead 1/4
1
5
OR 57
5/1
Jilly Runs Deep silks

Craig Bargowski

Jilly Runs Deep

4yo Filly · 8-7

Rivers Run Deep - Jillybean (Kettle Corn)

T Houghton0/1Loren Huepenbecker60%
431222
8.0

Class Advantage

25/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/11 · mark par25/119/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/12 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par26/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%25/11Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%20/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%26/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%15/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 3/4
5
4
OR 63
4/1
Laketown Elly silks

M Y Stables, Inc

Laketown Elly

4yo Filly · 8-7

Drill - Say Hey Elly Mae (Touch Gold)

Luis Batista60%3/9Craig Sweeting60%
147125
6.0

Class Advantage

23/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/108/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/12 · mark par23/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/12 · mark par2/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%23/10Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%23/12Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 80%22/07Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 0%17/08
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.7%Ahead 1/4