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20:50 · Churchill Downs

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming

6f 110y3YO plusDIRT16 runners
Ordered by projected finish
14
4
OR 70
6/1
Crystal Frost silks

Barlas, Ted, Barlas, Jean And Barlas, Chris

Crystal Frost

4yo Filly · 8-12

Frosted - Renards Lapin (Tiznow)

Rafael Bejarano60%Roddina Barrett
865233
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

19/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/0422/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par10/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par25/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par11/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par23/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%19/04Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%10/06Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%11/07Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%23/08
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 3/4
12
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 76
9/5
Shot At Perfection silks

Six Column Stables Llc, Rice, Gene E , Stanley, David And Bloch, Randall L

Shot At Perfection

3yo Filly · 8-9

Gun Runner - Khitaam (Medaglia D'oro)

Victor Carrasco0/1Ian Wilkes
842336
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

30/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/01 · mark par30/0121/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par15/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par10/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par9/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par24/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%30/01Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%15/04Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%9/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%24/08
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.8%Ahead 0/4
11
2
OR 81
4/1
Fraudster silks

David Jacobson

Fraudster

3yo Filly · 8-9

Charlatan - Confidently (War Front)

Joel Rosario60%David Jacobson
626556
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

18/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/098/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par4/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par30/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/01 · mark par15/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par14/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 17%18/09Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 44%4/01Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%15/05Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 17%14/06
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -39.6%Ahead 0/4
13
8
OR 77
5/2
Cosmopolitan Lady silks

Martin Racing Stable Llc, Gorsky, Bob, Circustown Racing Stables, Llc, D And B Racing, Llc (william Martin, Jr ) And Brown, Luke

Cosmopolitan Lady

3yo Filly · 8-9

Modernist - Wonderfuladventure (Tiz Wonderful)

Luan Machado60%0/1W Calhoun80%
609
2.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

9/05 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a9/0524/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 55%9/05Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 18%24/07
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.4%Ahead 2/2
10
10
OR 53
9/2
Market Strategy silks

Patricia's Hope, Llc And Moore, Melinda

Market Strategy

4yo Filly · 8-12

Yoshida - How's The Market (Exchange Rate)

Axel Concepcion60%0/3Michael Tomlinson
44083
4.0

Class Advantage

18/03 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a18/0330/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par29/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par5/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%18/03Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%30/04Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%29/05Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%14/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%5/08
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.5%Ahead 2/4
7
3
OR 57
20/1
Total Fabrication silks

Spergerway Stables Llc

Total Fabrication

3yo Filly · 8-9

Not This Time - Wise Strike (Smart Strike)

Summer Pauly60%Dana Hancock
783534
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

23/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0922/10 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a16/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par25/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par24/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%23/09Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 13%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%16/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 82%25/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%24/07
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.6%Ahead 2/4
8
12
OR 54
30/1
Diamond Tiara silks

Vanier, Nancy A And Williamson, Lyda

Diamond Tiara

4yo Filly · 8-12

Coal Front - Cloche (Hat Trick)

Miguel Fernandez60%−5lbBrian Williamson
45639
4.0

Class Advantage

26/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1216/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par16/0117/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%26/12Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 29%16/01Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 71%17/07
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.7%Ahead 1/3
4
6
OR 58
30/1
Gucci Gammy silks

Henry, Christy And Trimble, David

Gucci Gammy

3yo Filly · 8-9

Volatile - Duplicate (American Pharoah)

Luke Hoskins60%−7lbPaul Brown
87734
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0620/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par3/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par7/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%21/06Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%20/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%3/06Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%7/07Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%28/07
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 3/4
3
15
OR 49
15/1
Valiant War Girl silks

Jeffrey Rath

Valiant War Girl

3yo Filly · 8-9

Runhappy - Starlike (Eskendereya)

D E Sheehy0/1J Ennis
99
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

30/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0419/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/04projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%30/04Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%19/04
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.8%Ahead 1/2
5
5
OR 60
6/1
Sister Wife silks

Karen Young

Sister Wife

3yo Filly · 8-9

Code Of Honor - Speedy Bird (Birdstone)

Francisco Arrieta60%Thomas Van
663
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

27/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0916/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par16/11projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%27/09Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%16/11
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.2%Ahead 1/2
16
11
OR 72
6/1
Perpetua silks

W Bruce Lunsford Revocable Living Trust

Perpetua

3yo Filly · 8-9

Blame - Soldier In Pink (Declaration Of War)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%0/1Jr Thomas Drury,
5
2.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

17/07 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a17/07
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%17/07
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -53.7%Ahead 0/1
9
7
OR 65
20/1
Spotted silks

Laura Staley

Spotted

3yo Filly · 8-9

Known Agenda - Xoxo (Majestic Warrior)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%Marcelino Salas
36685
3.0

Class Advantage

21/03 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a21/0330/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par30/043/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/0625/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%21/03Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 29%30/04Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%3/06Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 36%25/06
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.5%Ahead 2/4
2
14
OR 55
10/1
Vinointhemoonlight silks

Better Than A Boat, Llc

Vinointhemoonlight

3yo Filly · 8-9

Vino Rosso - Luna Rising (Stay Thirsty)

Jaime Torres60%Michael Tomlinson
56
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

28/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/07
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%28/07
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 0/1
15
9
OR 67
8/1
Wado Wave silks

David Posey

Wado Wave

3yo Filly · 8-9

Mo Town - Knk's Dolce Vita (Hard Spun)

Walter Rodriguez60%James Dimmett
53060
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

5/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/027/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par29/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par12/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%5/02Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%7/03Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%29/03Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%12/07Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 9%27/08
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.9%Ahead 2/4
1
13
OR 62
15/1
Loves To Fish silks

Tracee Friederich

Loves To Fish

3yo Filly · 8-9

Cupid - Wall Eye (Quality Road)

Danilo Rave GrisalesWayne Catalano
9
2.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish15th of 167% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength21%
6
16
30/1
No Mo Rags silks

Jennifer Tooley

No Mo Rags

3yo Filly · 8-9

Mitole - Upcycle (Union Rags)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%Jennifer Tooley
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish16th of 160% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%