22:30 · Churchill Downs

Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 95
4/1
She'z The Law silks

Saints Or Sinners

5yo Mare · 8-9

Constitution - Back Flip (Super Saver)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%Gregory Foley
898183
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/11 · mark par6/1118/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/12 · mark par7/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par30/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par7/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 22%6/11Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%7/02Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%7/06Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%2/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.6%Ahead 3/4
1
2
OR 95
10/1
High Fashion Kate silks

Sarah Wells

5yo Mare · 8-9

Demarchelier - In The Rough (Stormy Atlantic)

Edgar Morales60%0/4Jordan Blair
529424
6.0

Class Advantage

1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/055/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 64%1/05Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%29/04Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%18/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.8%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav4
OR 96
3/1
Madonna Of Loreto silks

Thiele Thoroughbreds Llc

4yo Filly · 8-11

Caravaggio - Romana Ruler (Roman Ruler)

Luis Saez60%Lacey Gaudet60%
566014
5.0

Class Advantage

18/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/01 · mark par18/0116/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par22/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%18/01Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%16/05Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%13/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.1%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 88
5/1
Miss Enchanted silks

West Point Thoroughbreds

5yo Mare · 8-9

Maximus Mischief - Erin Enchanted (Lion Heart)

Martin Garcia60%Dale Romans
534333
6.0

Class Advantage

12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/0313/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par24/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par15/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par26/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 20%12/03Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%24/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%26/03Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%28/06
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.2%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 86
6/1
Her Town silks

Two Eight Racing Llc And Milmoe, William H

4yo Filly · 8-9

Mo Town - We Five (Carpe Diem)

Tyler Gaffalione1/1S Joseph Jr60%
12144
6.0

Class Advantage

17/10 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a17/1012/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/11 · mark par18/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/01 · mark par12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par24/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par24/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%17/10Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%12/11Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%18/01Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%12/03Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%24/05
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.7%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 94
4/1
Moon Mystique silks

Abdul Rahman Al Jasmi

4yo Filly · 8-9

Malibu Moon - Mrs. Boss (Wild Event)

D E Sheehy0/1Andrew Mckeever80%
163440
4.0

Class Advantage

17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a17/0624/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par11/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par3/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par7/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%11/10Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%7/02Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.2%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 74
7/2
Sina silks

Dale Ladner

3yo Filly · 8-8

Gun Runner - Sittin At The Bar (Into Mischief)

Junior Inirio60%0/1Bentley Combs
655651
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a27/068/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par30/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par24/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%27/06Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%30/08Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 20%20/05Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%6/06
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -49.8%Ahead 1/4