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English Oak

6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 100

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Handicap · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Rejuvenated for new yard when winning 2 handicaps at Meydan earlier this year. Also a good second of 5 at Hamilton (1m) in July and never enjoyed much room towards the rail when only sixth of 9 at Ripon latest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Hamilton 17/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 97 · 1m68y Goo 139 · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 97 par17/072OR 972 @ Goodwood 29/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR 97 · 1m1f197y Gd 125 · beat its mark29/07/2025 · OR 97 parC0 @ Meydan 16/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m Gd 13316/01C?C0 @ Meydan 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 1371 @ Meydan 06/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 103 · 7f Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 103 par6/031OR 1032 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 28 · OR 103 · 7f GF 136 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 103 par2 @ Hamilton 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 102 · 1m68y Goo 144 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 102 par16/072OR 1022 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 102 · 1m Goo 135 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 102 par2 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 102 · 1m Sft 144 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 102 par31/082OR 102projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Ripon26th6th0
2026-07-31Goodwood216th16th0
2026-07-16Hamilton22nd2nd0
2026-06-18Royal Ascot214th14th0
2026-03-06Meydan16th4th+1
2026-02-13Meydan?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0713/0216/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20252nd17/255%80%+0.25
29/07/202513th12/137%29%-0.07
16/01/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
13/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
06/03/20266th9/276%58%-0.18
18/06/202614th28/10%52%+0.52
16/07/20262nd4/179%75%-0.04
31/07/202616th66/10%12%+0.12
31/08/20266th13/266%38%-0.28