13:06 · Gowran Park

Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race

7fGoing TBC3YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 88
4/1
Rion Rubette silks

Bredwinner Syndicate

4yo Filly · 9-8

New Bay - Citronella (New Approach)

Paddy Harnett60%2/6M Butler
811028
6.0

Won over C&D in April and June, getting the better of Greydreambeliever on both occasions. Best effort since when neck second to Rebel Wave returned this venue in August, though her last effort is easily excused and, given her effectiveness here, it would be no surprise were she to make a bold bid.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par3/0422/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par7/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par21/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 53%3/04Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%7/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%21/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.1%Ahead 3/4
8
Market Fav4
OR 87
3/1
Greydreambeliever silks

Kevin Blake & Emma Palmer & Michael Wilson & N E F Luck

4yo Filly · 9-3

Dark Angel - Dione (Authorized)

Julian Pietropaolo−7lbJ P O'Brien
629458
3.0

Without a win since debut but runner-up 3 times at this track in handicaps this season, going down narrowly to Rion Rubette on last 2 occasions. Has largely struggled in better company since but is well suited by the conditions of this race and yard is still flying. High on the shortlist.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par27/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par30/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par7/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par30/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%17/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%27/06Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%7/08Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.2%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 87
6/1
Roaring Fire silks

Roaring Fire Partnership

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Mayson - Spontaneity (Holy Roman Emperor)

Reese Holohan60%−7lbM O'Callaghan60%
17
5.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Justified support when making a winning start in comfortable fashion in ordinary Naas maiden last year. Made little impact in minor event at Cork on return from 12-month absence and having been gelded but is probably best forgiven that effort having ploughed a lone furrow. Remains with potential.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/0930/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%18/09Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 14%30/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.7%Ahead 2/2
5
2
OR 74
14/1
Go Sioux Me silks

Sioux Me Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Sioux Nation - Dance Company (Aussie Rules)

Ben Coen70%1/2J Nash
431
7.0

Continued a theme of run-to-run progression and showed a solid turn of foot when winning a 7f maiden at Down Royal when last seen in September 2023. Mammoth absence to overcome.

Class Advantage

28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/068/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/0725/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%28/06Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%8/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%25/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.5%Ahead 3/3
7
3
OR 78
12/1
Anushka silks

Dr S P Fitzgerald

3yo Filly · 9-5

Invincible Spirit - Dramatista (Lope De Vega)

Adam Grant−7lbH De Bromhead80%
105305
3.0

Off the mark at Dundalk (7f) on final 2-y-o start and made a solid start to life in handicaps earlier in the season. Not so good the last twice, though, and some improvement needed if she's to figure in this company off these terms.

Class Advantage

29/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/1012/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par4/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%29/10Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 64%4/05Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 16 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 16 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%28/06Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%7/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.3%Ahead 2/4
4
8
OR 89
7/2
City House silks

Dooley Thoroughbreds & J Fairhurst

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Night Of Thunder - Impala (Oasis Dream)

Adam Caffrey60%0/4A McGuinness
548407
3.0
Tongue strap

Without a win this year but some good runs in defeat for Ado McGuinness and arrives in better heart than recent form figures suggest, left with plenty to do on both of his last 2 starts. Likely to be involved at the finish if breaking on terms.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/046/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par23/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par14/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par18/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par2/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 64%27/04Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%23/05Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%18/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 54%2/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.5%Ahead 3/4
1
6
OR 86
7/1
Mumhan silks

Mrs J S Bolger

3yo Colt · 9-10

Mehmas - Yes Oh Yes (Gone West)

Declan McDonogh60%1/1J S Bolger
150
4.0

Debut winner of 6f Curragh maiden as a 2-y-o but has come unstuck in graded company since either side of a 6-month break. Returns from another 5-month absence here and has plenty to prove to at present.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0918/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a18/1012/04 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a12/04projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%27/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%18/10Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 10%12/04
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.6%Ahead 2/3
3
7
OR 84
10/1
Booyea silks

Ballinlough Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Galileo Gold - Newgate Lodge (Namid)

Billy Lee60%0/4T Gibney60%
502840
3.0
Blinkers

On a lengthy losing run but went close in a competitive handicap at the Curragh in June and made the frame in the Irish Cambridgeshire last month. Ran poorly last time, though, and will need to bounce back to his best to feature.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par17/054/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par9/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par29/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par12/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%17/05Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%28/06Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 81%29/08Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%12/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 3/4