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18:00 · Newcastle

Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap (Div 1)

6fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 60
7/1
Too Much silks

Mr Stuart Murray

Too Much

6yo Mare · 9-9

Showcasing - Girls Talk (Shamardal)

Aiden Brookes0/4D Thompson
067154
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
Hood

Cashed in on her much-reduced mark here (5f) in July and creditable efforts in defeat on both starts since, latest back at this venue. Can remain competitive on return to 6f.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/048/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par20/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%20/04Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%4/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%20/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%3/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.4%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav4
OR 58
5/2
Asadjumeirah silks

Northgate Lodge Racing Club

Asadjumeirah

8yo Gelding · 9-7

Adaay - Place In My Heart (Compton Place)

Ethan Tindall60%2/3−5lbA Brittain70%
869161
7.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Arrives at the top of his game, registering his seventh C&D success in 7-runner event 16 days ago, driven clear. There's nothing in his current record to suggest he's much better than that, though, so may struggle to defy a 6 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par1/0516/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%1/05Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 47%6/06Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 62%20/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.7%Ahead 4/4
9
Value2
OR 48
11/2
Tickets silks

MPS Racing & Partners

Tickets

7yo Gelding · 8-11

Aclaim - Czarna Roza (Polish Precedent)

C Horgan−5lbP Neville
655242
6.0
Tongue strap

Has made a good start for current yard, going close back in handicap company in 8-runner C&D handicap 16 days ago. Likely to continue in form.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/047/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 62%20/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%28/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%7/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.3%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 61
3/1
Donald silks

Dovebrace Ltd And Friends

Donald

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Washington Dc - Lucy Parsons (Thousand Words)

Mark WinnT D Barron
549421
8.0

Confirmed his return to form when opening his account in 11-runner handicap at Carlisle (6f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Could still have more to offer at this trip.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par20/0519/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%20/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 11%9/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%20/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.9%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 59
9/2
Operation Gimcrack silks

Mr P Chettle And Mr B Smart

Operation Gimcrack

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Showcasing - Folk Melody (Street Cry)

S D Bowen60%B Smart
150623
6.0

Ran well on his first try sprinting since his debut when third of 14 in handicap at this C&D 30 days ago. Should remain competitive.

Class Advantage

24/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par24/0212/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par10/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%24/02Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 8%10/04Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 90%1/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 85%20/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.3%Ahead 3/4
8
3
OR 50
33/1
Lord Abama silks

Mrs K S Pratt & M Dods

Lord Abama

7yo Gelding · 8-13

Profitable - Dancing Years (Iffraaj)

Rhys Elliott0/11−5lbM Dods60%
778497
3.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

C&D winner who is falling in the weights without showing much sign of taking advantage, finishing only seventh of 10 in 7f handicap at Southwell 23 days ago. Blinkers back on.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par1/0518/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 45%1/05Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%16/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%10/08Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%27/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.8%Ahead 2/4
7
7
OR 54
25/1
Territorial Star silks

Mr Ronald Anthony Ryan

Territorial Star

3yo Filly · 9-1

Territories - Muritz (Free Eagle)

Rowan Scott60%0/4R Menzies
396507
3.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Maiden who possibly needed the run starting out for this yard at Catterick 11 days ago, slowly away. This promises to reveal more.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/0917/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 85%24/09Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%20/04Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%26/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 45%8/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.8%Ahead 1/4
10
9
OR 45
25/1
My Mate Beattie silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

My Mate Beattie

4yo Filly · 8-9

Kodiac - Wearing Wings (Sea The Stars)

Barry McHugh60%S Dixon60%
685357
3.0
Cheek pieces

Long-standing maiden who followed a below-par effort with an even worse one when seventh of 10 in 7f handicap at Southwell 23 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/052/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%21/05Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 56%21/06Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%14/08Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%27/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.1%Ahead 4/4
5
10
OR 58
12/1
Men Of Honour silks

Buist, Shields, Thompson And Mrs R Car

Men Of Honour

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Ten Sovereigns - Danehill Music (Danehill Dancer)

J P Sullivan60%0/6Mrs R Carr
996957
3.0

Made a bit more impact than of late from his reduced mark when seventh of 13 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Eased a further 2 lb ahead of first tapeta start.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/053/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%16/05Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 38%20/06Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%22/08Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%2/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.3%Ahead 3/4
6
8
OR 55
33/1
Masai Angel silks

Mr R A Fahey

Masai Angel

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Harry Angel - Military Angel (Big Brown)

Billy Garritty0/2R A Fahey80%
543000
2.0Class ↓4

Made the frame on 2 of his 3 starts in maiden company but has gone the wrong way since switched to handicaps.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0620/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%15/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%17/06Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%8/08Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%31/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.2%Ahead 2/4