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12:20 · Ayr

Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery

7f 50yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 78
3/1
Diplomata silks

The Thoroughbred Racing Corporation Lt

Diplomata

2yo Filly · 9-5

Havana Grey - Parliament House (Slade Power)

Tom Marquand70%1/1W J Haggas
4531
7.0

Showed much improved form when making a successful nursery debut at Haydock 2 weeks ago, doing well to reel in One Shot Kodi after being repeatedly short of room. Good chance she can defy 10 lb rise.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/0524/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0714/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/083/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%13/05Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%24/07Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 33%14/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.5%Ahead 1/4
4
2
OR 71
10/3
Necromancer silks

King Power Racing Co Ltd

Necromancer

2yo Filly · 8-12

Bangkok - Heartbreaker (Cable Bay)

Jason Hart60%1/1R M Beckett60%
561
6.0

Showed big improvement on much softer ground than previously when winning Beverley maiden with a bit in hand 3 weeks ago. Opening mark looks a fair one and further rain would increase her chance.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0714/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/0829/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%18/07Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%14/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.4%Ahead 2/3
6
6
OR 70
8/1
Bai Tong silks

Mr C R Hirst

Bai Tong

2yo Filly · 8-11

Blue Point - Dubai One (Exceed And Excel)

S H James70%0/1K R Burke60%
527
4.0

Failed to meet market expectations first 2 starts and similar form when down the field at Newbury. Work to do from this opening mark.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0417/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/051/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 5 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 20%18/04Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 86%17/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 45%1/06
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.0%Ahead 1/3
5
7
OR 70
7/1
One Shot Kodi silks

Mr Mark Barlow

One Shot Kodi

2yo Filly · 8-11

Kodi Bear - Irresistable (Dark Angel)

O McSweeney0/1K A Ryan
8742
5.0

Has loads of scope for a juvenile and she showed improved form switched to a nursery when length second to Diplomata at Haydock, looking like she'd slipped the field until the winner surged once in the clear. Diplomata was value for extra that day but this filly is 6 lb better off now.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0525/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0720/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/083/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%26/05Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 54%25/07Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 57%20/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 89%3/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.6%Ahead 4/4
7
5
OR 66
20/1
Global Success silks

The Ayrshire Tradesman & Partner

Global Success

2yo Filly · 8-7

Space Traveller - No More Regrets (Kodiac)

Jack Nicholls60%−3lbJ S Moore60%
325253
5.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Looks exposed as a fair maiden at best. Seemed unsuited by testing conditions at Goodwood latest.

Class Advantage

23/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/069/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par8/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 78%23/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 76%31/07Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 69%26/08Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%8/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.3%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 77
6/1
Motown Filly silks

Phil Cunningham

Motown Filly

2yo Filly · 9-4

Cotai Glory - Elkmait (Trade Fair)

Saffie Osborne70%R Spencer
272
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Promising second in a Windsor novice in June on debut. Found things tougher when down the field in listed race at Newmarket later the same month but proved no match for a promising newcomer at Goodwood since.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/0625/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0628/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength73%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 89%8/06Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%25/06Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%28/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 1/3
1
4
OR 82
4/1
Missouri Waltz silks

Paul Shanahan And Michael O'flynn

Missouri Waltz

2yo Filly · 9-9

Blackbeard - Fancy Vivid (Galileo)

Mikey Sheehy60%1/1A Keatley
12
8.0

Decisive winner of an ordinary Catterick maiden on debut and showed similar form under a penalty when second at Newmarket, the longer trip unsuitable given the way she shaped. Remains with potential back at 7f.

Class Advantage

22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/0720/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 80%20/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.4%Ahead 1/2
8
8
OR 66
16/1
Sara's Silver Girl silks

Mr A Fordham Racing

Sara's Silver Girl

2yo Filly · 8-7

Kameko - Rishes Baar (El Kabeir)

Joanna Mason60%M & D Easterby
545
4.0

Hinted at ability in 3 qualifying runs and return to further will suit on nursery bow.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0722/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/0719/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%6/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%22/07Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%19/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.6%Ahead 3/3
9
9
OR 62
33/1
Texting silks

Ontoawinner & Alfa Site Services Ltd

Texting

2yo Filly · 8-3

Caturra - Pigeon Point (Harbour Watch)

A Mullen70%I Furtado60%
667
3.0

Never landed a blow in 3 novices, her best effort coming on her sole start on all-weather.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/0720/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/085/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength56%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%6/07Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 29%20/08Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.9%Ahead 3/3