13:30 · Ayr

British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes (Listed)

5fGoing TBCClass 12YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 97
10/3
Mussab silks

Sheikh Abdullah Almalek Alsabah

2yo Colt · 9-5

Ten Sovereigns - Exuding (Showcasing)

O J Orr1/2R A Fahey60%
3361
6.0

Ran a cracker when third in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot in June on just his second start. Failed to repeat that effort when sixth of 10 in the Gimcrack before making the most of an easier opening at Newcastle 2 weeks ago. One to consider.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a23/0520/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0621/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/083/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%23/05Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 90%20/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%21/08Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.0%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav2
OR 99
7/4
Hickory Lad silks

Mr J Toes & Mr J O'loan

2yo Colt · 9-5

James Garfield - Park Glen (Tagula)

S H James70%1/5Phillip Makin
121383
6.0Going 10.0

Well suited by the step up to 6f when doubling his career tally with a decisive success in the Woodcote at Epsom in June. Shaped as though still in form since in better company, keeping on very well to finish third in listed company at York 4 weeks ago. That just about sets the standard.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/046/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a9/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par30/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%29/04Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%30/07Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.3%Ahead 3/4
7
4
OR 81
10/1
Nour silks

Mr Mohamed Saeed Al Shehhi

2yo Filly · 9-0

Dandy Man - Neesaan (New Approach)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%K R Burke60%
331
6.0

Dandy Man filly who is very much going the right way, finding another jolt of improvement when making a winning all-weather/nursery debut at Southwell over 6f 3 weeks ago. Pitched in quite deep here but her limit hasn't been reached.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0525/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a25/0727/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%26/05Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%25/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.4%Ahead 1/3
2
3
OR 96
9/2
Dance A Jig silks

Mr J C Smith

2yo Colt · 9-5

Naval Crown - Strictly Dancing (Danehill Dancer)

Jason Hart60%R M Beckett80%
22019
4.0
1st Visor +2

Naval Crown colt who flopped at Royal Ascot but resumed progress in no uncertain terms when off the mark in 5-runner nursery at Haydock (5f) a month ago. That performance is backed up by the clock but he then didn't look an easy ride in listed company at York. Visor quickly reached for.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a28/031/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 93%28/03Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%1/05Pos 23 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 23 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 8%17/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%7/08Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 20%22/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.3%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 87
11/2
Dubai Champion silks

Future Champions Racing Syn & Mps Raci

2yo Colt · 9-5

Persian Force - Sundiata (Showcasing)

A Mullen70%1/3B Haslam
43120
5.0

Maiden winner at Hamilton in June and shaped well tackling 6f for the first time when narrowly denied in Glorious Goodwood nursery, caught late having hung right. Blotted his copybook by almost refusing to race at York so now looks one to be slightly wary of.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a13/053/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%13/05Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%3/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 94%31/07Pos 11 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 11 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%22/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.8%Ahead 3/4
1
6
OR 78
20/1
Caturra Lights silks

East 11limited Trainor And Partners

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Caturra - Freckles (Arakan)

Mikey Sheehy60%1/3A Keatley70%
3391
6.0
1st Blinkers +3

Showed promise when placed in maidens at Musselburgh and Chester on his first 2 starts. Had the worst of the draw when ninth back at Chester and gelded after, he showed improved form when making a successful nursery debut at Carlisle last week. Blinkers on and this a different examination.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a26/047/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a7/0530/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a30/059/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 71%26/04Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%7/05Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%30/05Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.7%Ahead 4/4
8
7
OR 75
14/1
Sydney Grace silks

Ms Sara Jayne Fuller

2yo Filly · 9-0

Minzaal - Pas De Soucis (Footstepsinthesand)

Kaiya Fraser70%C Fellowes
612
6.0

Looked potentially useful when recording a notably strong-travelling success at Carlisle (5f, soft) in early-June and progressed further switched to a nursery when going down by just a neck in a 10-runner event at Wolverhampton (6f) last month. Can improve again. Engaged 3.15 Yarmouth Thursday.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/059/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a9/0617/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%20/05Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%17/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.3%Ahead 3/3
6
8
OR 79
25/1
Underdog silks

Phil Cunningham

2yo Colt · 9-5

Perfect Power - Excelette (Exceed And Excel)

Saffie Osborne70%1/5R Spencer60%
105099
2.0

Perfect Power colt who made a winning debut in a Sandown novice (5f) in June. Largely struggled in Group/listed events after but excuses in nurseries on last 2 starts. This is a tough ask, however.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/0620/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par17/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par12/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%3/07Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%19/08Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 1/4