12:50 · Newmarket

Turners Fillies' Handicap

1mGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market Fav2
OR 81
9/4
Prosperity silks

Clipper

3yo Filly · 9-6

Zarak - Beauty Salon (Dutch Art)

Lewis Edmunds60%K R Burke60%
11
9.0Going 8.0

Zarak filly has looked potentially useful in landing a pair of 1m novices at Ripon and Southwell this summer, showing a good attitude when defying a penalty on latter occasion. Not without interest now stepping into handicap company.

Class Advantage

27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0716/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%16/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.5%Ahead 2/2
9
Top Pick1
OR 72
9/2
Stormy Music silks

Mr J C Smith

3yo Filly · 8-11

Night Of Thunder - Foxtrot Lady (Foxwedge)

David Probert70%A M Balding60%
686313
7.0Going 8.0

Night of Thunder filly took another step forward with first success in 1m handicap on July course here in August. Looked unlucky not to follow up (got gap only last 1f) when a running-on third of 5 in another 1m handicap there since. Leading claims off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/0815/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%28/08Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%2/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.2%Ahead 1/4
5
3
OR 84
4/1
Food For Thought silks

HM The King & HM The Queen

3yo Filly · 9-9

Dubawi - Thought Process (Galileo)

H Crouch60%0/2R M Beckett60%
241225
6.0Going 8.0

Dubawi filly got off the mark in1¼m Nottingham maiden in June. Has run well in handicaps since, twice second at Salisbury and on July course here before a close fifth of 14 at York (1¼m, good to soft) 29 days ago. Not out of things back down in trip.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/1029/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%6/10Pos 4 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 67%1/08Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 69%21/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.0%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 80
8/1
Gran Ventura silks

Gran Ventura Partners

4yo Filly · 9-9

Frankel - Passagio (Speightstown)

George Bass60%J Channon
310
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Frankel made a winning start for Jack Channon (trained debut by George Boughey) in 7f Southwell novice in July. Stiff task when last of 13 in listed race at Longchamp (1m, good) 16 days ago. Lots more required now going handicapping.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0623/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/073/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%27/06Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%23/07Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.9%Ahead 1/3
3
8
OR 84
8/1
Radiance silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Larch

3yo Filly · 9-9

Farhh - Sailing (Lope De Vega)

Billy Loughnane80%0/4G Boughey
13793
4.0

Debut 7f maiden winner at Yarmouth last July. Disappointed subsequently but much more settled in a first-time hood when a resurgent third of 7 in handicap at Kempton (1m) 15 days ago. Needs to back it up now.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/0714/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 3 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 60%14/08Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%19/09Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%11/08Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%4/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.8%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 81
7/1
Thaluna silks

Mr George Waud

3yo Filly · 9-6

Zoustar - Peach Melba (Dream Ahead)

Harry DaviesW J Haggas
102353
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Fair 6f winner at 2yrs. Advanced her form with reappearance second over 7f here but just respectable efforts since, going very keenly when third of 4 in handicap on July course here (1¼m, good to firm) last time. May still do better back at 1m.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/1031/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par11/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%10/10Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 90%2/05Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%11/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%1/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.1%Ahead 1/4
8
6
OR 78
12/1
Porth Eilian silks

Julie & David Martin, Dan Hall & Partn

3yo Filly · 9-3

Palace Pier - Initially (Dansili)

Callum Shepherd70%E Bethell
413138
5.0Going 8.0

Made a successful handicap debut at Hamilton (1m) in May and doubled her tally at Beverley (8.5f) in July. Not matched her best form both runs since though, beating only one back at Hamilton (9f, good) last time.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/0527/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par21/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%2/05Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%17/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%21/07Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%21/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.6%Ahead 1/4
1
9
OR 84
33/1
Goldilocks Cen silks

The Keg Partnership I

4yo Filly · 9-13

Teofilo - Yulong Gold Fairy (Mount Nelson)

J Mitchell60%A Watson70%
210597
4.0Class ↓3
1st Tongue Strap +2

Fairly useful ex-French 11f winner but has failed to a make a significant impact in 4 runs for her current yard and failed to beat a rival in listed events at Galway and Salisbury on her last 2 runs. Tongue strap (worn in France) goes back on now.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/0622/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par7/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par30/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par12/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par12/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 88%25/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 43%17/06Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%30/07Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%12/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.8%Ahead 2/4
2
7
OR 84
20/1
Ice Sovereigns silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

3yo Filly · 9-9

Ten Sovereigns - On Ice (Galileo)

J GarrittyR A Fahey60%
431100
5.0Class ↓4

Fairly useful juvenile landed Carlisle double in good style on nursery debut in September. Came in last in Rockfel at Newmarket final run at 2yrs though and again on her spring return in 1m Musselburgh handicap on final start for Charlie Johnston. Needs this yard switch to spark a major resurgence.

Class Advantage

12/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/0731/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par26/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par12/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%12/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%12/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%26/09Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%12/04
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.0%Ahead 2/4