14:40 · Ayr

Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap

6fGoing TBCClass 23YO plusTURFHandicap25 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 86
14/1
Vantheman silks

Mr C Paterson

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Invincible Army - Laila Honiwillow (Bahamian Bounty)

S H James70%K A Ryan60%
134455
4.0
Blinkers

Landed a C&D maiden as a 2-y-o but all wins since have been at 5f, the latest at Hamilton (5f) in May. Respectable efforts in defeat since (all 5f) and needs to prove he's still fully effective at 6f.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/0531/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par26/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par17/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par21/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%17/05Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 77%26/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%1/08Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%21/08
Projected finish1st of 24100% of fieldRange 2-25 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 84
14/1
Woven silks

Mr John Sagar And Dunham Trading Ltd

10yo Gelding · 9-8

Dutch Art - Regal Silk (Pivotal)

Connor Beasley60%0/19M Dods60%
047295
4.0
Cheek pieces

Veteran who was second in this race 12 months ago (also second in 2022 Silver Cup). A runner-up effort at York in June shows he's still pretty useful and a recent outing at Haydock after a short break should have put him spot on for this.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par8/1129/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par13/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 48%8/11Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 71%13/05Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 95%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%6/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 69%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 2496% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.3%Ahead 3/4
1
10
OR 87
14/1
Milford silks

Judy & Richard Peck

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Kodiac - Penlight (Shamardal)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%0/2Miss J A Camacho60%
609282
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
Visor

Winless since debut back in spring 2024 but has shaped well when runner-up on 2 of his last 3 starts, leaving impression this return to a bare 6f may suit at Doncaster (6.5f) last Sunday. Yard won this last year with Winged Messenger (runs again).

Class Advantage

31/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0513/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par13/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 62%31/05Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%10/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 91%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 46%4/09Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 92%13/09
Projected finish3rd of 2491% of fieldRange 1-23 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.3%Ahead 3/4
3
12
OR 87
8/1
American Style silks

Hambleton Racing Ltd XXXVIII

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Washington Dc - Dance On The Day (Epaulette)

T Eaves2/8K A Ryan
006312
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Back on form with a 6f Wolverhampton win in July. Just as good when narrowly denied at Chester (6f, good) since. Same mark today.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/055/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par1/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par14/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par22/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 20 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 10%13/05Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%1/07Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%31/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%22/08
Projected finish4th of 2487% of fieldRange 1-22 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.2%Ahead 4/4
16
Market Fav13
OR 80
15/2
Boston Dan silks

The Wolf Pack 2 And Partner

3yo Colt · 9-7

Ardad - Blondikova (Pivotal)

D Allan60%1/1T D Easterby
004701
5.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Useful 5f winner at 2 yrs for Richard Fahey. Tumbled in weights after a string of below-par efforts to start 2026 and back on form in a first-time tongue tie (retained) when seeing off 10 rivals at Haydock (5f, heavy) a fortnight ago. 5 lb penalty but remains well treated on peak form.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0627/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par3/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 15th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 48%13/06Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%25/07Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 22%19/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish5th of 2483% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.3%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 86
16/1
Jordan Electrics silks

Bjordan,brianjordan,sjordan&Nmcconnell

10yo Gelding · 9-10

Dandy Man - Ruby Slippers (Sir Percy)

P Mulrennan60%8/19J S Goldie60%
483130
6.0
Cheek pieces

Back to winning ways in first-time cheekpieces over C&D (firm) in July. Another fine effort in the new headgear when third at his beloved Hamilton next time but his run of good form came to a halt at Thirsk since. Third in this race in 2023.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/066/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par17/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par20/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par21/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%17/06Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%17/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%21/08Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%28/08
Projected finish6th of 2478% of fieldRange 11-25 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 2/4
2
8
OR 87
10/1
Wild Clary silks

Hollywood Racing & Barnane Stud

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Dark Angel - Chrysanthemum (Danehill Dancer)

P J McDonaldR Hannon60%
423144
6.0Going 8.0

Gained reward for some good efforts since handicapping when taking a 6f event at Newbury (good to soft) in June. Made an encouraging return from a mid-season break when fourth of 14 at Haydock (6f, heavy) a fortnight ago. On the shortlist.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par28/0316/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par30/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 70%28/03Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 85%30/05Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 50%18/06Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 77%4/09
Projected finish7th of 2474% of fieldRange 7-23 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.7%Ahead 3/4
25
2
OR 80
16/1
Winged Messenger silks

Bland , Hall & Camacho

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Postponed - Equimou (Equiano)

D Tudhope60%1/2Miss J A Camacho60%
140570
3.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Ended a fine 2025 campaign with a win in this race on soft ground under Danny Tudhope. Hasn't fared anywhere near as well this year, including last of 10 at Doncaster on Sunday, but dangerous to dismiss with Tudhope back on board for the first time since last year's success.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/0925/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par13/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 24th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%19/09Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%13/06Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%21/08Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%13/09
Projected finish8th of 2470% of fieldRange 25-25 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.4%Ahead 1/4
19
11
OR 77
20/1
Angel Shared silks

Beaudesert Racing 1

5yo Mare · 9-6

Harry Angel - Quelle Affaire (Bahamian Bounty)

D C Costello7/20Steph Hollinshead
064914
5.0Class ↓1

Finally stopped the slide when opening her account for the season in 8-runner handicap at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) last month. Backed that up when fourth at Salisbury 15 days ago but carries a 5 lb penalty for the Newmarket win so isn't obviously well handicapped.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par22/0526/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par17/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par28/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par3/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 24
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 14%22/05Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%17/07Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%3/09
Projected finish9th of 2465% of fieldRange 6-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.0%Ahead 3/4
24
14
OR 82
12/1
French Affair silks

Pompey Ventures & JPS Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Mehmas - Clearly Crystal (Exceed And Excel)

S D Bowen60%1/2J Candlish
246113
6.0

Came good for new yard in 26-runner handicap at Glorious Goodwood and improved further to follow up at Redcar 10 days later (both 6f, good to firm). Latest 7f Epsom third probably shouldn't be used as evidence that the handicapper has got him as being dropped out in a steadily-run race wasn't ideal.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/055/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 18th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 95%23/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 58%20/06Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 60%31/08
Projected finish10th of 2461% of fieldRange 1-25 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.0%Ahead 2/4
7
16
OR 80
20/1
Hunky Dory silks

Mr John Murphy

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Pinatubo - Fresh Strike (Smart Strike)

Tom Marquand70%0/1Miss L A Perratt60%
186361
5.0
Cheek pieces

Dual all-weather winner for other yards and gained a first turf success over 6f at Hamilton (good) 4 weeks ago, just his second outing for Linda Perratt. A 5 lb penalty demands more, though.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par10/0417/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par20/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%10/04Pos 8 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 8 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 30%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%20/05Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%19/08Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%21/08
Projected finish11th of 2457% of fieldRange 1-24 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.4%Ahead 2/4
15
4
OR 83
25/1
Manila Scouse silks

Ambrose Turnbull & John Cruces

7yo Gelding · 9-7

Aclaim - Forever Excel (Excelebration)

Sean Kirrane1/2T D Easterby
610006
3.0
Tongue strap

Won over C&D (good to firm; has also won on heavy) in July but has gone off the boil since. Needs a return to Ayr to spark a revival.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/066/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par11/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 20th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%13/06Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 10%1/08Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 35%28/08Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 44%11/09
Projected finish12th of 2452% of fieldRange 15-25 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.1%Ahead 1/4
13
9
OR 83
25/1
Fleetwater silks

Ms H N Pinniger And Partner

4yo Filly · 9-7

Ardad - Noble Nova (Fraam)

Kaiya Fraser70%J S Moore60%
239187
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Finally gained reward for several creditable efforts when winning at Salisbury in June. Wasn't at her best back there last time, though. Others are more persuasive.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par6/047/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par15/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par30/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par28/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par3/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%6/04Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%15/06Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 63%28/07Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%3/09
Projected finish13th of 2448% of fieldRange 10-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.6%Ahead 2/4
18
5
OR 82
20/1
Rousing Encore silks

Mr Paul K Spencer

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Acclamation - Jolie Chanson (Mount Nelson)

J P Sullivan60%3/30Mrs R Carr
040305
4.0Class ↓2

Scored twice (including C&D) in 2025 campaign that also saw him post several good efforts in big-field handicaps. Creditable third to Manila Scouse and Territorial Knight back here in July and there was enough in his recent Ripon fifth to think he's still in form.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/0530/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par3/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 21st of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%13/05Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 18 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 18 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 15%13/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%25/07Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%3/08
Projected finish14th of 2443% of fieldRange 20-25 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 2/4
12
21
OR 83
10/1
Francisco's Piece silks

Keatley Racing OG, Finneran & Allen

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Mayson - Josefa Goya (Sakhee's Secret)

Mikey Sheehy60%0/2A Keatley
057512
6.0Class ↓2

Endured a winless 2025 but mark eased as a result and he bettered his 2 previous efforts this year when ending the drought at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) in July. Backed it up when second of 9 at Beverley (5f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. All wins have come over the minimum trip.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C3 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par10/1025/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par8/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par29/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 18%10/10Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%8/04Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%31/07Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%29/08
Projected finish15th of 2439% of fieldRange 5-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.9%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 85
20/1
Territorial Knight silks

Hambleton Racing Ltd Xxix

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Territories - Night Thrills (Dark Angel)

K Stott70%0/1K A Ryan60%
554259
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Plenty of good efforts last season, including fifth in this race on soft. Another good effort over C&D when runner-up on good to firm in July. Latest Haydock effort can be forgiven as he was on the wrong part of the track.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/0929/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par2/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 17th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%19/09Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%2/05Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 64%11/08Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 38%4/09
Projected finish16th of 2435% of fieldRange 22-25 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.5%Ahead 1/4
9
17
OR 84
20/1
U Sure Do silks

Mr J N Blackburn

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Kodiac - Lake Moon (Tiger Hill)

Jake Dickson60%0/1−5lbT D Easterby80%
241698
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Dual winner last term who resumed his progress when narrowly taking 6f handicap at Ripon in May. Hasn't troubled the judge since but left impression he should have finished closer (not clear run final 100 yds) when eighth of 15 at York (7f) 12 days ago. First-time cheekpieces added to tongue tie.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par5/1118/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par6/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 14th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%5/11Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%22/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%6/09
Projected finish17th of 2430% of fieldRange 12-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.9%Ahead 3/4
17
18
OR 82
14/1
Eye Of Dubai silks

Wedo Business & Mr S Radymski

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Havana Grey - Lily Carstairs (Orpen)

Jason Hart60%4/23J & S Quinn80%
700800
2.0
1st Blinkers +3

Has yet to fire this season but has dipped to 5 lb below the mark from which he was third in the Silver Cup (on soft) and won at Ripon last September. Worth chancing in the hope that refitting of headgear (first-time blinkers) sparks a return to form.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par26/1115/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par6/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par25/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par28/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 23rd of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%26/11Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%6/06Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 8%15/08Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%28/08
Projected finish18th of 2426% of fieldRange 10-25 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.4%Ahead 3/4
14
20
OR 83
16/1
Brighton Boy silks

Reality Partnerships Ii

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Gregorian - Natural Instinct (Dandy Man)

D Fentiman0/2T D Easterby
606035
3.0

Returned to his best when opening his account for current yard at Thirsk (7f) in May. Back to form when close third at Chester (6f, good) last month and shaped as if still in good nick when fifth over 7f at Haydock (soft) 13 days ago.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0627/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par1/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par22/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 72%13/06Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%1/08Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%22/08Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%5/09
Projected finish19th of 2422% of fieldRange 15-24 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.7%Ahead 3/4
10
19
OR 86
20/1
Bone Marra silks

Pompey Ventures 3

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Starman - Pyrenean Queen (Zoffany)

Dylan Hogan60%Ollie Sangster
120123
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
Tongue strap

Has yet to finish out of the first 3 in 6 all-weather outings, including a win over 6f at Southwell in June. A bit too early to suggest he won't prove effective on turf after only 4 attempts but his level in this sphere is some way off what he's achieved on artificial surfaces.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par8/1128/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par23/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%8/11Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 19%23/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%17/07Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%11/08
Projected finish20th of 2417% of fieldRange 10-25 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.1%Ahead 2/4
22
15
OR 81
12/1
Righthere Rightnow silks

Phil Cunningham

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Kodiac - Runner Runner (Dark Angel)

Saffie Osborne70%0/7R Spencer60%
400307
2.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Ran well after a 3-month break when third of 12 to Diligently at Windsor in June but 2 lesser runs have followed. Yard respected in these sort of races but others arrive with more pressing claims.

Class Advantage

16/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/016/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par11/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par17/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 22nd of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%16/01Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 13 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 20%6/03Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%17/08
Projected finish21st of 2413% of fieldRange 20-25 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -32.2%Ahead 0/4
21
23
OR 81
14/1
Al Hussar silks

The Gathering And Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Bated Breath - Queen's Charter (Oasis Dream)

Oliver Stammers60%1/13Grant Tuer60%
516475
3.0
Blinkers

Resumed winning ways at Thirsk (5f) in May and remained in form since, including fifth of 11 at Chester (5f, good to firm) when last seen in June. Ran well on previous attempt at 6f.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/0531/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par25/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 19th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 79%23/05Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%13/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 45%10/07Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%25/07
Projected finish22nd of 249% of fieldRange 16-25 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.6%Ahead 0/4
11
24
OR 83
25/1
It Just Takes Time silks

Go Alfresco Racing Partners

8yo Gelding · 9-7

Power - War Bride (War Blade)

J Garritty5/32M Walford
223198
4.0

Front runner who got back on scoreboard at Beverley (7f, good to firm) in July but has found life tougher in bigger fields at Thirsk (7f) and Ripon (6f) since.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/0616/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par1/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 16th of 24
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 92%4/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 71%4/07Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%1/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 46%15/08
Projected finish23rd of 244% of fieldRange 15-25 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.2%Ahead 2/4
20
22
OR 83
50/1
Society Kiss silks

Mr Clarence Bennie Robinson

3yo Filly · 9-5

A'ali - One Kiss (Sayif)

Joanna Mason60%J Mackie
10320
4.0Class ↓2Going 7.0

Turf maiden winner for Ralph Beckett at the start of last summer and showed she retains all that ability at the second time of asking for new yard when second of 6 in handicap at Windsor (5f, good to soft) in June. Well beaten at Kempton since, though. Others are much more obvious.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a9/0518/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par8/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 24
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%18/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%28/04Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%8/06Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%26/08
Projected finish24th of 240% of fieldRange 18-25 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 1/4